@CryptoHayes
InsiderHYPE 50%Arthur Hayes
791,773 followers · last synced 2026-05-10 · lookback 90d
Cohort medians below are the honest full-record aggregate over every matured call. The Scout / Insider tag is set by concentration — what share of those calls land on the handle's single most-mentioned token — and decides which leaderboard tab the handle appears in.
30d cohort
+1.4%
median excess · n=31 · win 55%
damped +1.3%
3 tokens · top HYPE 58%
90d cohort
+14.2%
median excess · n=14 · win 93%
damped +12.2%
3 tokens · top HYPE 50%
365d cohort
no matured calls
aggregate trajectory by token
one line per token · mean BTC-excess across all calls of that token, t0-anchored
Click a token to see its individual calls. Each line is the mean of all that token's mentions at each day-from-tweet (linearly interpolated where samples don't line up).
mentions (36)
| date | token | 1d | 7d | 30d | 30d excess | 90d excess | tweet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | BTC | +0.6% | -0.9% | -0.9% | +22.6% | open | Remember the $ZEC target is 10% of $BTC's price. We got a lot of pamping to go. https://t.co/t0NXK72aok |
| 2026-05-06 | ZEC | — | — | — | — | open | Remember the $ZEC target is 10% of $BTC's price. We got a lot of pamping to go. https://t.co/t0NXK72aok |
| 2026-05-05 | ZEC | — | — | — | — | open | Holy $ZEC!!!! https://t.co/wXldgEWN0c |
| 2026-05-01 | ZEC | — | — | — | — | open | Ah yes - I can afford a cocktail again. $ZEC = $400????? PLS 😭😭😭😭😭 https://t.co/lG1uOXXo8N |
| 2026-04-17 | HYPE | +1.6% | -5.9% | -2.1% | -6.1% | open | HIP4 enables binary options on @HyperliquidX I expect an explosion of volume. $HYPE = $150 is just the beginning. |
| 2026-04-16 | BTC | +0.4% | +4.5% | +7.2% | +1.4% | open | The authorities will print money whatever happens, so being long $BTC un-levered is still @maelstrom positioning. In this uncertain time, we love $HYPE. https://t.co/qGmoLYArzo |
| 2026-04-16 | HYPE | -1.7% | -7.7% | -3.8% | -9.5% | open | The authorities will print money whatever happens, so being long $BTC un-levered is still @maelstrom positioning. In this uncertain time, we love $HYPE. https://t.co/qGmoLYArzo |
| 2026-04-16 | BTC | +0.4% | +4.5% | +7.2% | +1.4% | open | $BTC isn’t out of the woods given the ceasefire, the AI destruction of knowledge workers is accelerating, a financial crisis is nigh. But maybe $BTC is breaking out against US SaaS software and we bottomed? https://t.co/BvocnMhMxX |
| 2026-04-16 | BTC | +0.4% | +4.5% | +7.2% | +1.4% | open | "No Trade Zone" discusses the impact on $BTC based on whether the Strait of Hormuz is open or closed. https://t.co/spNEjrnPI7 |
| 2026-04-13 | HYPE | 0.0% | -8.3% | -3.1% | -15.3% | open | Oooooo baby!! The bears can suck on my yachtzeee!!! 😘😘😘😘😘 $HYPE = $150 https://t.co/XhtduasXpd |
| 2026-04-11 | HYPE | 0.0% | +5.4% | +1.6% | -10.5% | open | Say hello to my little friend ... $HYPE |
| 2026-04-10 | HYPE | +5.5% | +11.2% | +8.9% | -3.7% | open | Started from the bottom now we here $HYPE https://t.co/lxueye2PnI |
| 2026-04-09 | ZEC | — | — | — | — | open | 加油 $ZEC https://t.co/hLgmL8YZMU |
| 2026-04-09 | BTC | +0.9% | +5.2% | +12.8% | -0.1% | open | I’ll believe Iran is charging a toll in $BTC when I see a tx linked to a vessel’s toll payment. Otherwise it’s just the IRGC trolling the western filthy fiat financial system. |
| 2026-04-08 | HYPE | +0.1% | +12.4% | +9.8% | -1.0% | open | The only thing we're buying right now is $HYPE |
| 2026-03-20 | HYPE | +1.0% | -0.3% | +12.0% | +3.6% | open | $HYPE fam, I need a new PFP to reflect my dedication to ecosystem. Give me some suggestions. |
| 2026-03-20 | HYPE | +1.0% | -0.3% | +12.0% | +3.6% | open | Pretty impressive that oil contracts are trading $1.5bn a day. $HYPE is taking over. See you at $150. 😘😘😘😘 https://t.co/rD5cdBw0UL |
| 2026-03-19 | HYPE | -7.1% | -4.5% | +5.7% | -2.6% | open | $HYPE outperformance is realz. https://t.co/bACxm5Ju2q |
| 2026-03-17 | HYPE | +1.1% | -8.7% | +9.5% | +9.5% | open | Pump up the jam! $HYPE = $150 https://t.co/jCThAPAX3g |
| 2026-03-12 | BTC | +0.5% | +1.5% | +3.9% | 0.0% | open | $BTC (+7%, white) has outperformed Gold (-2%, gold) and the Nasdaq100 (-0.5%, green) since the US-Iran war started on Feb 28th. Realative to similar type large risky assets, $BTC did the best when viewed against oil & gas energy price spikes. https://t.co/pO9JOzPbEb |
| 2026-03-12 | HYPE | +3.0% | +16.3% | +14.7% | +10.8% | open | $HYPE is about to break out to the upside! $HYPE to $150 😋😋😋😋😋😋 https://t.co/o0hBH76Kv4 |
| 2026-03-09 | HYPE | 0.0% | +7.1% | +11.2% | +2.2% | +27.9% | Yummy $HYPE = $150 https://t.co/eVMqbSoWsF |
| 2026-03-09 | HYPE | +13.1% | +21.2% | +25.8% | +16.9% | +44.8% | My essay on why $HYPE is going to $150 by August 2026. https://t.co/M1la2HpdzT |
| 2026-03-06 | HYPE | 0.0% | +19.9% | +17.0% | +22.1% | +48.6% | It's the weekend and the TradExchanges' computers must caddy for their humans on the golf course. But @HyperliquidX is always open for trading. The oil perp CL-USDC is where price discovery will happen this weekend as bombs continue to fall in the middle east. $HYPE -> $150 😘😘 https://t.co/nvDo2s9TFl |
| 2026-03-04 | BTC | 0.0% | -3.8% | -8.0% | -5.9% | +11.9% | $BTC (white) hasn't decoupled yet from US SaaS tech companies (green). It could be a dead cat bounce. We aren't in the clear yet. Be patient. https://t.co/kRrmAdfMlS |
| 2026-03-02 | BTC | +4.8% | +0.5% | +3.8% | 0.0% | +9.6% | "iOS Warfare" argues that the longer Trump lingers in Iran, the higher the likelihood of the Fed printing money to support the Pax Americana war machine. And ultimately $BTC number go up. Stay safe out there fam. https://t.co/Ku3IRzCr2B https://t.co/it3SRxKnFW |
| 2026-03-01 | HYPE | +1.6% | -2.9% | +17.8% | +18.3% | +28.0% | BBG now plugging $HYPE. Get long or be wrong! https://t.co/9glmnOCMML |
| 2026-02-28 | HYPE | 0.0% | -0.2% | +21.2% | +21.1% | +26.3% | Where price discovery happens when TradExchanges sleep. @HyperliquidX $HYPE to $150 https://t.co/WxtvmqnpwO |
| 2026-02-23 | BTC | -4.5% | -2.8% | +4.3% | 0.0% | +5.3% | My portfolio right now. Stonks - gold silver copper uranium miners, oil majors, merchants of death, LatAM energy names Crypto - $BTC, $ETH, $ZEC, $HYPE And physical gold. Watchu got fam? |
| 2026-02-23 | HYPE | -9.3% | +9.4% | +39.3% | +35.0% | +34.9% | My portfolio right now. Stonks - gold silver copper uranium miners, oil majors, merchants of death, LatAM energy names Crypto - $BTC, $ETH, $ZEC, $HYPE And physical gold. Watchu got fam? |
| 2026-02-23 | ZEC | — | — | — | — | — | My portfolio right now. Stonks - gold silver copper uranium miners, oil majors, merchants of death, LatAM energy names Crypto - $BTC, $ETH, $ZEC, $HYPE And physical gold. Watchu got fam? |
| 2026-02-23 | ETH | -5.1% | -0.8% | +10.3% | +6.0% | +5.7% | My portfolio right now. Stonks - gold silver copper uranium miners, oil majors, merchants of death, LatAM energy names Crypto - $BTC, $ETH, $ZEC, $HYPE And physical gold. Watchu got fam? |
| 2026-02-17 | BTC | 0.0% | -4.3% | +5.6% | +2.2% | +7.0% | "This Is Fine" is an essay on why $BTC is predicting an AI-adoption driven financial crisis which will be "solved" with printed monay! https://t.co/sp2NBHWorM https://t.co/RTtEbogYAR |
| 2026-02-08 | HYPE | 0.0% | -1.6% | +7.3% | +8.5% | +16.6% | Since $HYPE is bad @KyleSamani let's make a bet. I bet that from 00:00 UTC 10 Feb 2026 to 00:00 UTC 31 July 2026 $HYPE will out perform any shitcoin >$1bn mcap on coingecko in USD terms. You choose your champion. Loser donates $100k to a charity of the winner's choice. https://t.co/9n3TjxiRPk |
| 2026-02-08 | BTC | +1.8% | +0.7% | -1.2% | 0.0% | -0.2% | $BTC derivs don’t cause moves, they amplify in both directions. There is no secret plot crash the crypto mrkt. Give thanks that there are no bailouts so we can clear over leveraged tourists swiftly and resume Up Only! |
| 2026-02-07 | BTC | -1.7% | -2.4% | -6.4% | 0.0% | +0.5% | $BTC dump probably due to dealer hedging off the back of $IBIT structured products. I will be compiling a complete list of all issued notes by the banks to better understand trigger points that could cause rapid price rises and falls. As the game changes, u must as well. https://t.co/9DF8VE9XBL |