shillscore

Crypto-Twitter signal accuracy. BTC-excess returns on every token mention, ranked by damped median.

30-day BTC-excess. Active default — all current data sits inside this window.

Insiders — score leans on one token (≥50% of matured calls). Overwhelmingly project accounts ranked on their own coin (e.g. @superformxyz → UP). Useful to see who shills their own bag well, not who finds alpha.

30d leaders

ranked by damped median BTC-excess · follow them on X

When you sign in with X, this strip will flag accounts you don't yet follow. For now the follow links open X in a new tab.

how the leaderboard is built

running mean BTC-excess per account · each dot = one matured call · curve ends today

Every dot is one matured call. Click a dot to see the tweet, the token it called, and how much that call moved the account's line.

acctnmean (line)mediandampened
@AskVenice8+105.1%+75.8%+59.4%
@GLC_Research6+15.0%+22.8%+16.8%
@injective107+9.9%+11.4%+11.2%
@rainbowdotme13+10.1%+11.8%+10.1%
@TurboToadToken183+7.0%+6.2%+6.1%
@0xALTF49+8.9%+6.4%+5.1%
@SuiNetwork8+4.2%+3.5%+2.8%
@superformxyz21+9.5%+2.5%+2.2%
@42space6+4.1%+2.8%+2.0%
@CryptoHayes31+4.3%+1.4%+1.3%

Why three numbers? The chart plots the running raw mean — easy to read off as a curve but volatile. Each dot is one matured call; click it to see the tweet and how much it nudged the mean. The leaderboard sorts by dampened = median × √(N / (N + 5)), which trims tails and penalizes thin samples. Hover or click a row to isolate that account.

who caught the 30d winners

top 9 tokens by BTC-excess return over 30d · coloured dots = top-10 accounts · grey dots = other tracked accounts

Survivor-biased by design. Each panel was selected because the token beat BTC over the window — so any dot looks good. The interesting signal is which accounts got there first vs late on each call, and how often the same accounts recur across panels. Skill lives in the leaderboard table below; this view is about coverage and timing.

VVV · Venice Token
t0 2026-02-09 · 30d window
+215% vs BTC
+214% raw
@AskVenice@AerodromeFi@arkham@ErikVoorhees@MetaMask
67244421d0d7d14d21d30
AVAX · Avalanche
t0 2026-02-07 · 30d window
+7% vs BTC
0% raw
@avax@lookonchain@pangolindex
8997105d0d7d14d21d30
AERO · Aerodrome Finance
t0 2026-02-09 · 30d window
+5% vs BTC
+4% raw
@AerodromeFi@AragonProject@nansen_ai
84101117d0d7d14d21d30
HYPE · Hyperliquid
t0 2026-02-07 · 30d window
+1% vs BTC
-5% raw
@CryptoHayes@GLC_Research@AerodromeFi@arkham@lookonchain@Nomaticcap@okx@SolanaFloor@zoomerfied
7991103d0d7d14d21d30
SOL · Solana
t0 2026-02-09 · 30d window
+1% vs BTC
-0% raw
@AerodromeFi@aixbt_agent@Crypto_Crib_@FTDA_US@krakenfx@lookonchain@MagicEden@mrjasonchoi@pendle_fi@SolanaFloor
8897106d0d7d14d21d30
ONDO · Ondo
t0 2026-02-07 · 30d window
+1% vs BTC
-6% raw
@aixbt_agent@lookonchain
91104116d0d7d14d21d30
ETH · Ethereum
t0 2026-02-07 · 30d window
0% vs BTC
-6% raw
@0xALTF4@CryptoHayes@_nikolajankovic@arkham@binji_x@Crypto_Crib_@cryptocom@ether_fi@FTDA_US@lookonchain@Morpho@Nomaticcap@paradex@PolymarketMoney@ryanberckmans@SolanaFloor
8997104d0d7d14d21d30
WLFI · World Liberty Financial
t0 2026-02-09 · 30d window
-2% vs BTC
-2% raw
@Crypto_Crib_@lookonchain@SolanaFloor@worldlibertyfi
89103117d0d7d14d21d30
OPEN · OpenLedger
t0 2026-02-08 · 30d window
-3% vs BTC
-5% raw
@PolymarketMoney@Stocktwits
87105122d0d7d14d21d30
acctmaturedmedian excess
@AskVenice8+75.8%
@GLC_Research6+22.8%
@injective107+11.4%
@rainbowdotme13+11.8%
@TurboToadToken183+6.2%
@0xALTF49+6.4%
@SuiNetwork8+3.5%
@superformxyz21+2.5%
@42space6+2.8%
@CryptoHayes31+1.4%
grey dots = other tracked accounts (below the 30d top-10 cut), shown so the actual day-0 caller stays visible
#handlematuredwin %median excessdampedtop tokenfollowers
1@AskVeniceVenice8100%+75.8%+59.4%VVV100%63,803
2@GLC_ResearchGLC667%+22.8%+16.8%HYPE50%9,919
3@injectiveInjective 🥷10762%+11.4%+11.2%INJ80%544,694
4@rainbowdotmeRainbow1354%+11.8%+10.1%RNBW100%117,745
5@TurboToadTokenTurbo 🐸18370%+6.2%+6.1%TURBO100%110,655
6@0xALTF4ALTF4978%+6.4%+5.1%BTC67%57,983
7@SuiNetworkSui888%+3.5%+2.8%BTC75%1,112,738
8@superformxyzSuperform2152%+2.5%+2.2%UP100%125,713
9@42space42650%+2.8%+2.0%BTC50%43,007
10@CryptoHayesArthur Hayes3155%+1.4%+1.3%HYPE58%791,773
11@paradexParadex560%+0.4%+0.3%BTC60%71,755
12@binji_xbinji667%+0.2%+0.1%ETH83%45,266
13@Crypto_Crib_Crypto Crib6038%0.0%0.0%BTC60%206,037
14@cryptocomCrypto.com5448%0.0%0.0%BTC59%3,065,086
15@Shaughnessy119Tommy838%-0.1%-0.0%BTC88%65,105
16@unusual_whalesunusual_whales2450%-0.3%-0.3%META83%3,735,628
17@pangolindexPangolin (PangoPerps is out!)3746%-0.6%-0.6%AVAX68%118,616
18@PolymarketMoneyPolymarket Money7047%-1.1%-1.0%META60%98,410
19@DeFi_DadDeFi Dad ⟠ defidad.eth540%-3.3%-2.3%ETH80%179,455
20@okxOKX729%-6.8%-5.2%XAUT71%5,695,477
21@avaxAvalanche🔺540%-7.6%-5.4%AVAX100%1,116,960
22@coinsphCoins.ph520%-8.5%-6.0%USDT100%80,441
23@MetaMaskMetaMask 🦊119%-8.0%-6.6%XAUT73%1,433,613
24@zksyncZKsync3342%-9.6%-8.9%ZK100%1,472,688
25@worldlibertyfiWLFI1323%-13.5%-11.5%WLFI100%779,560
26@MANTRA_ChainMANTRA | The EVM L1 for RWAs603%-23.9%-23.0%MANTRA100%380,722